Market Impact Report

The future of BPO services is Services-as-Software, turning hours into outcomes

This Market Impact Report is for CIOs, CTOs, and sourcing leaders evaluating how to replace rigid, headcount-based BPO contracts with Services-as-Software™ platforms that deliver outcome-based pricing, embedded AI, and measurable business results.

Executive summary

The business process outsourcing (BPO) industry is at a tipping point. Decades of headcount-based delivery, fixed pricing models, and labor-intensive operations are increasingly misaligned with enterprise needs. In a digital-first, AI-enabled economy, speed, agility, transparency, and outcomes matter more than volume, offshore delivery centers, and full-time employee (FTE) counts. To stay relevant, the industry must embrace its next chapter: adopt the Services-as-Software™ (SaS) playbook of BPO services as modular, intelligent platforms. HFS has quantified the SaS market opportunity at $1.5 trillion, proving that enterprises are ready for this shift (see Exhibit 1).

Exhibit 1: The software and services market (including SaS) is projected to reach $1.5 trillion by 2035

A stacked area chart showing the projected market forecast for software and services from 2024 to 2035, based on HFS estimates. In 2024, global technology services are shown at approximately $1.5 trillion and global software and SaaS at approximately $1 trillion. By 2035, global technology services are projected to decline to approximately $1 trillion (CAGR of negative 3 to 5%), global software and SaaS are projected to grow to approximately $1.5 trillion (CAGR of 5%), and Services-as-Software (comprising both current services and software solutions and net new solutions) is projected to reach approximately $1.5 trillion, with a portion labeled "Undefined" representing net new SaS opportunity not yet captured in existing categories. Source: HFS Research, August 2025.

Source: HFS Research, August 2025

As GenAI and agentic automation mature, the industry will shift from monolithic services to productized digital workflows. But the path is gated by cultural inertia, data debt, and the need for credible, interoperable partners.

In this report, HFS Research, in partnership with Firstsource, explored why enterprise leaders are changing service strategies, what hurdles are holding them back, and how they must adapt. We interviewed enterprise technology leaders (CIOs, CTOs, and CISOs) to understand their willingness to shift from FTE based contracts to outcome-driven, platform-based models.

  • Why: Enterprises are under pressure to deliver growth, efficiency, and agility, but FTE-heavy BPO models are rigid, costly, and misaligned with business outcomes.
  • What: SaS-based BPO offers a way out, but foundational transformation is needed to address legacy debt, which holds back progress.
  • How: Enterprises must take a phased approach to this shift—piloting modular services, redesigning contracts around outcomes, and investing in data readiness and AI governance.

Enterprises can’t expect greater outcomes when the entire hardware, software, IT services, and BPO stack is not integrated and under unified control. Integrating data and workflows is essential, ensuring accuracy and embedding deep domain expertise into software. Enterprises that don’t demand outcome-driven services risk falling behind. Traditional, FTE-heavy BPO models are outdated, leading to high costs and stagnant growth.

Inefficient and inflexible outsourcing contracts are no longer relevant

Business leaders are no longer satisfied with the status quo. Despite outsourcing for years, they still encounter many systemic problems: inflexibility, inefficiency, and an inability to adapt to changing business demands (see Exhibit 2). Outsourcing contracts designed on the FTE model incentivize vendors to “do the work” rather than reduce it, and enterprises are left paying for headcount instead of value. Rigid change protocols, manual ramp-ups, and siloed delivery reinforce the problem.

Exhibit 2: The current BPO model is unsuitable and inefficient for rapidly evolving business needs

A circular relationship diagram showing seven interconnected challenges of current BPO models arranged around a central executive quote from the CTO of a healthcare firm. The seven labeled challenges are: inflexibility, labor intensive, limited learning, siloed delivery, opaque operations, misaligned KPIs, and outdated commercial models. Source: HFS Research, September 2025.

Source: HFS Research, September 2025

Digital-native companies have raised the bar, increasingly demanding intelligence and agility. BPO service providers continue to fall short: they frequently overpromise, lack a deep understanding of business models, and fail to drive innovation beyond ticket resolution. This has created hidden gaps, delays, and operational inefficiencies such as:

  • Inflexibility: Rigid scopes; change triggers lengthy renegotiations and change orders
  • Labor‑intensive operations: Automation underused; delivery models still FTE‑bound
  • Slow onboarding and limited learning: Re‑onboarding repeatable processes from scratch
  • Siloed delivery: Lessons learned that don’t transfer across functions
  • Opaque operations: Low visibility into how work is done (especially with AI in the loop)
  • Misaligned KPIs: SLAs reward volume/speed over business impact
  • Outdated commercials: FTE‑based pricing discourages automation and AI

A senior executive from a financial institution cited rigid change request protocols that made it impossible to adapt outsourced services to evolving compliance needs quickly. Another lamented the lack of learning across repeat M&A onboarding projects.

Despite having completed multiple similar transactions, our provider continues to onboard each new process from scratch without applying lessons learned.

— CIO of a financial services firm

Outcome-based models are the first step toward broader transformation. However, providers still need a delivery model designed for agility and automation to make outcomes stick and help enterprises sustain their growth in a rapidly changing business and economic environment. Over the next three years, engagements will move from FTE and T&M to hybrid models, followed by next-gen BPO models such as flexible outcome-driven or shared revenue types.

An HFS survey of more than 500 executives showed that reliance on FTE-based models is expected to drop from 42% to 28%, while outcome-based models are projected to nearly double from 20% to 39% over the next three years. At the same time, hybrid models (combining fixed fees with outcome-based or subscription-plus-performance tiers) are forecast to grow from 8% to 14% (see Exhibit 3).

Exhibit 3: Commercial models are moving from output-based to outcome-driven in the next three years

A grouped vertical bar chart showing current and projected commercial model preferences, based on survey responses to "What is the commercial model for your third-party engagements? How do you want it to change in the next three years?" Current vs. future values for each model: based mainly on effort/input (e.g., number of employees/FTEs, time and material, etc.) 42% currently and 28% in future; based on the volume of transactions processed (or output) 26% currently and 18% in future; next-gen BPO aided by flexible outcome-based models and shared-revenue models with service providers 20% currently and 39% in future; a hybrid of the above 8% currently and 14% in future; not applicable 5% currently and 1% in future. Sample: 500+ survey participants. Source: HFS Research, August 2025.

Sample: 500+ survey participants
Source: HFS Research, August 2025

Given enterprises’ current challenges and expectations for third-party engagements on outcome-based and hybrid commercial models, the optimal solution is SaS-based BPO services. This approach transforms outsourcing into a platform-driven strategy that aligns incentives with scalable execution, ensuring that businesses meet their evolving needs.

Services-as-Software transforms traditional BPO into a scalable, transparent, and outcome-driven platform

The growing demand for AI-driven solutions, adaptability, and self-optimizing workflows calls for a SaS approach that moves away from rigid, monolithic contracts tied to static services. The SaS model transforms outsourcing into platform-led services that operate like cloud software, giving enterprises what they have long been looking for:

  • Standardization: Modular services delivered through platforms, not custom processes
  • Subscription-based pricing: Paying for outcomes, not effort
  • Self-improving workflows: Built-in AI that learns and gets better over time
  • Plug-and-play integration: APIs and connectors that adapt to enterprise tech stacks

Enterprises should adopt intelligent, AI-driven, platformized, modular, and interoperable BPO agreements (see Exhibit 4). This shift is crucial for distinguishing B2B offerings, increasing efficiency, and facilitating the development of non-linear, outcome-focused business models.

Exhibit 4: Services-as-Software is the natural evolution of traditional BPO, elevating it from a back-office to a business-critical function

A two-column comparison table contrasting the Services-as-Software model with the traditional BPO model across six dimensions. Modularity: SaS delivers services as composable micro-capabilities vs. manual process with labor intensive. Outcome-based pricing: SaS charges for business results, not effort vs. FTE, fixed price, or build-operate-transfer models. Rapid deployment: SaS onboards new services in days, not months vs. months or years with no simple deployment. Embedded intelligence: SaS embeds AI and automation that improves over time vs. low embedded intelligence, knowledge transfer issues, and workflow automation not at scale. Interoperability: SaS connects to existing apps, data lakes, and analytics platforms vs. low level of interoperability, mostly manual. Explainability: SaS makes AI decisions auditable and transparent vs. manual and process deficiency highlighted mostly. Source: HFS Research, 2025.

Source: HFS Research, 2025

HFS Research’s survey data revealed that more than 40% of enterprises plan to shift customer experience delivery to AI-led models over the next three years. Supply chain and F&A (30% each) and marketing (27%) followed closely (see Exhibit 5). This reflects recognition that SaS-based BPO delivers scalability, speed, and transparency.

Exhibit 5: Enterprises are actively shifting key business processes to AI-led solutions

A horizontal bar chart responding to the question "What types of services or processes is your organization considering to replace with AI-led solutions?" Results ranked from highest to lowest: business customer experience 41%, business supply chain 30%, business finance and accounting 30%, business marketing 27%, business industry-specific operations 24%, business HR or talent management 23%, business services or shared services 22%, business procurement or sourcing 21%, business sales 20%, business strategy (e.g., innovation, transformation, R&D, product development) 20%, business ESG (environmental, social, and governance) 10%, and business legal, risk, audit, or compliance 6%. Sample: N=230 Forbes G2000 company executives in the BPO domain. Source: HFS Pulse Survey, 2025.

Sample: N=230 Forbes G2000 company executives in the BPO domain
Source: HFS Pulse Survey, 2025

An executive from the HR tech space emphasized the need to replace outdated fixed-price models that don’t reflect the efficiencies made possible by automation.

The most beneficial model would be a BPO where AI agents handle 70–80% of the work and humans manage the rest with complete transparency on what’s automated and where human oversight is still needed.

— Head of Technology at a global real estate services firm

Freed from multi-year contracts and manual workflows, enterprises can experiment faster, scale smarter, and reallocate talent toward high-value innovation instead of process chasing. With real-time performance insights, speedier onboarding, and the freedom to adjust services as business demands shift, the focus shifts from chasing SLAs to driving outcomes—objectives and key results (OKRs) that matter to the business.

Services-as-Software makes budgeting more predictable. The key is using a platform model that frees people to deliver more proactive, predictive, value-added services instead of spending time on mundane processes.

— SVP of Technology at a life sciences company

But if the SaS model is so appealing and flexible for enterprises, why hasn’t it become the norm yet? The answer lies in a mix of organizational inertia and structural obstacles. Legacy procurement frameworks still prioritize predictable costs over flexible value. IT systems are often fragmented and lack the necessary data hygiene for effective automation. Many providers also struggle to implement the new model at scale. As a result, the intention to make this shift often outpaces actual implementation.

Evaluate challenges and AI-readiness to implement AI-led BPO solutions

Legacy procurement habits, fragmented systems, and vendor credibility gaps are slowing down AI adoption far more than its availability. An executive shared that while they wanted to move to outcome-based contracts, their finance and procurement functions insisted on flat-rate pricing for predictability.

Another leader from the cybersecurity space highlighted the lack of data governance as a dealbreaker for adopting AI-enabled services. Without clean, auditable data, there’s no foundation to build on. Still, there’s plenty of hope around the ability of platformized, AI-first BPO to deliver faster and better outcomes than the traditional model.

Not all client requirements can be met with a fully integrated platform or AI-driven solutions. Therefore, AI and technology-led solutions must be integrated into traditional BPO models. This integration will require developing customized solutions and partnerships within managed services.

Understanding these barriers (see Exhibit 6) is crucial because AI isn’t just an enabler of the SaS model. It’s becoming the foundation that makes it possible and tempers the path to scaling SaS adoption.

AI can make mistakes at machine speed. We need transparency in how it thinks.

— CISO of a payroll and HR solutions company

Exhibit 6: Data, change management, and security concerns hinder wider adoption of SaS-based BPO at scale

A two-panel reference diagram grouping adoption barriers into internal and external categories. Internal barriers include data and integration readiness (clean, integrated data is a persistent stumbling block; most buyers admit their digital core is immature, with messy, siloed, or incomplete data sets) and internal change management (finance, legal, and procurement are often wedded to predictable, FTE-led models and resist new pricing formats). External barriers include execution credibility (buyers cite a credibility gap; many said vendors promise results for modular AI-led services but lack proof that their solutions can deliver at scale) and security and explainability (AI and automation raise alarms among security and compliance leaders; trust cannot be gained without full auditability, access controls, and robust governance). Source: HFS Research, 2025.

Source: HFS Research, 2025

Enterprises today face a dual reality in outsourcing readiness. Traditional FTE-heavy BPO services, while entrenched, struggle with inflexibility, slow ramp-ups, and inefficiencies, especially in regulated or seasonal industries. In contrast, SaS approaches, platform-based models, and AI-embedded models offer appealing modularity, scalability, and cost predictability.

Enterprises are most willing to experiment where performance is measurable (collections, underwriting time, call handling, SLA attainment). Adoption rises with transparent measurement and credible proof points. For SaS-based BPO to work, ROI must be measured differently. The conversation must shift from cost takeout and productivity improvement to speed-to-market, business agility, and customer impact. While many leaders agreed that traditional KPIs (average handle time, number of tickets closed, and compliance rates) remain relevant, they stressed the need to reinterpret them, with many aiming to assess time-to-value and predictable results.

Readiness for these models varies by sector. Healthcare leaders identify staffing shortages and inefficiencies as drivers for AI adoption in revenue cycle management and denial management. In financial services, enthusiasm is balanced by Securities and Exchange Commission/Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (SEC/FINRA) regulations, with ongoing experimentation in fraud detection and identity verification areas. Media and technology firms are more comfortable with experimentation but must shift their metrics from throughput SLAs to qualitative KPIs focused on customer experience and growth.

A CISO described how organizations are reimagining the mean time to respond (MTTR) in machine-speed triage, prioritizing prevention and root cause elimination over pure reaction time. Another executive outlined a shift from SLA compliance to OKR based governance, with goals tied to retention, NPS/CSAT, and revenue per client.

With AI in the mix, KPIs will fundamentally speed up. We’d shift more toward OKRs, things like call satisfaction rather than just math-based metrics.

— Head of Technology at a global real estate services firm

In our interviews with enterprise leaders, we assessed the readiness for AI-led, platform-based BPO services (see Exhibit 7). Many leaders prefer subscription or outcome-based contracts, valuing faster resolution times and proactive AI capabilities over labor-centric models. However, adoption timelines differ; while readiness for AI partnerships rated high (4.8 out of 5), challenges such as data gaps and compliance issues slow full-scale transitions (3.5 out of 5).

Exhibit 7: Enterprises want change, but legacy debt is the hurdle

Seven donut-style score cards displaying enterprise readiness ratings on a scale of 1 to 5. Belief in AI and industry expertise platforms as long-term partners: 4.8, the highest score, demonstrating near-universal confidence. Viability of outcome-based pricing: 4.2, showing broad willingness to embrace value-linked commercial models. Readiness to adopt services-as-software models: 3.8, reflecting moderate-to-strong alignment with some respondents seeking further validation. Intent to reduce dependency on FTE-based delivery: 3.8, reflecting a moderate but uneven drive toward automated, scalable approaches. Openness to autonomous decision-making agents: 3.6, revealing mixed sentiment balanced by hesitancy and the need for transparency and incremental rollout. Perception of traditional BPO models as limiting agility: 3.5, suggesting that while many see legacy models as restricting innovation, a notable segment still values their stability. Data readiness for AI at scale: 3.3, the lowest score, highlighting a significant readiness gap in data infrastructure as a critical barrier to scaling AI. Source: HFS Research, August 2025.

Source: HFS Research, August 2025

Enterprises desire to leverage proprietary data and deep domain know-how, encapsulated into narrow, domain-specific language models for differentiation, enabling non-linearity, outcome-driven models, and favoring platformization. However, not all client engagements allow for a full-platform play. They must adopt a phased approach where AI or tech-led solutions are infused into traditional BPO models. The future of BPO services is AI-first, focusing on integrating human input where necessary.

The road ahead is a phased path to Services-as-Software

The journey to a modular, AI-enhanced BPO model isn’t a leap; it’s a progressive, multi-phase transformation. Enterprises begin with tactical pilots based on module-based service pricing alongside existing models, building confidence before scaling to more complex domains. This incremental adoption approach is practical, risk-aware, predictable, and aligned with how technology transformations succeed.

AI is reshaping how BPO is designed, delivered, and experienced. We are moving beyond rules-based bots to agents that plan, decide, collaborate, and adapt to achieve outcomes that mirror high-impact teams. This shift enables the delivery of technology services such as AI, automation, and analytics, even when operations are kept in-house.

Enterprises are adopting an “inch-wide, mile-deep” strategy, leveraging domain expertise to drive transformation. The future of work will emphasize gig sourcing, micro-tasking, and micro-service architectures, introducing technology arbitrage by building platforms and solutions in domains of expertise. AI must be viewed as a thinking model, not just a technology, requiring internal adoption before external evangelism. AI-led BPO solutions have already been developed and successfully deployed at a US healthcare firm (see Exhibit 8).

Next-gen BPO will be AI-first but not AI-only. You still need a human in the loop, especially in regulated industries, with provable traces and responsible AI frameworks to pass stringent audits.

— CTO of a consulting and advisory firm

Exhibit 8: AI-driven BPO platforms enable enhanced accuracy, improved process efficiency, and better CX

A before-and-after transformation diagram for a leading US healthcare company, showing four problem areas on the left mapped to four AI-driven solutions in the center and three quantified outcomes on the right. Before: disconnected, manual systems caused delays, stoppages, and poor customer experience; no classification logic with heavy dependency on manual review for claims and non-claims differentiation; low accuracy and scalability of OCR with high maintenance overhead; and delays and inefficiencies due to manual claims processing and disconnected legacy systems. After: AI-driven automation improved straight-through processing, reducing human effort and delays; agentic AI enabled intelligent classification with embedded business logic and contextual reasoning; transformer-based models enhanced accuracy, scalability, and ease of maintenance across form types; and enhanced automation accuracy, scalability, explainability, and significant improvement in processing speed and user experience. Quantified outcomes: approximately 40% faster realization for new scenarios; approximately 30+ improvement in content extraction and classification accuracy; and approximately 25% increase in straight-through processing. Source: HFS Research and Firstsource.

Source: HFS Research and Firstsource

A few BPO providers, such as Firstsource, are helping blaze this trail. By rethinking service delivery as productized platforms, they showcase how BPO can be rebuilt around composability, AI augmentation, and continuous improvement. Their efforts reflect a growing realization across the industry: transformation doesn’t come from headcount reductions, but from redefining how services are constructed, delivered, and monetized. This example proves that the SaS vision is not just aspirational; it’s operational.

With AI and automation, the road ahead for BPO is about higher levels of automation without losing service quality. If it improves service levels and lowers costs, it makes the relationship even more valuable.

— CIO of a major US bank

Organizations must balance stability with innovation by keeping legacy metrics for operational accountability and introducing OKRs for strategic direction. The platform model supports this dual focus, helping enterprises meet established performance baselines faster while adding richer, outcome-focused measures that resonate with operations teams and the C-suite.

AI adoption must begin internally across HR, finance, procurement, marketing, and other functions. This requires training, enablement, and access to tools and sandboxes across the organization, building a digital-native or AI-native culture supported by robust infrastructure and governance.

The Bottom Line: The BPO contract you sign next should look like a product, not a body shop. SaS compresses cost and time while augmenting know-how, but only if your data is governed and your stack is AI-ready.

Enterprises that kill their legacy BPO models before the market does it for them will set the pace. Those who embrace this shift will unlock speed, insight, and resilience. GenAI and agentic automation can turn repeatable processes into software-defined services that can be measured, versioned, and improved in production.

Providers that want to lead must invest in productization, build AI-powered capabilities, and measure success in business terms. Services-as-Software is not just a trend; it’s the inevitable evolution for any BPO provider that wants to remain relevant in the AI era.

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